Extra weight is linked to cancer. Nineteen types of it.

People say: “Excess weight is linked to at least 13 cancers” We read the study.

What they did

Meta-analysis of cohort studies. 1,520,512 cancer cases. 226 cohort articles published up to 23 April 2025; most studies followed people for more than 5 years.

Many studies, added up. People were watched, not told what to do. A clue, not proof.

Who: Adults (18+) in prospective cohorts and administrative health databases from 23 countries (cases 59.4% Europe, 29.9% East Asia, 10.4% North America); n = 1,520,512 incident cancer cases across 25 cancer types (n is cancer cases, not people)

What they found
  • Womb cancer+58%per 5 BMI points
  • Kidney cancer+30%per 5 BMI points
  • Breast, pre-menopause-8%lower, not higher
The catch

More to know, from our read of the paper:

  • Observational: pooled cohort associations, not proof that weight causes the cancers; MR (genetic) analyses agreed in direction for 9 of 22 cancers, others imprecise
  • All risks are per 5 kg/m2 higher BMI (RR per 5 BMI points), converted from each study's HR/OR/RR; never phrase as 'obese people have X% more'
  • The '19 cancers' include low-certainty links (head and neck and bladder in never-smokers, aggressive prostate with CI 1.00-1.09, glioma 1.03); authors rate high certainty for 11 types only
  • The 3 inverse links (premenopausal breast, lung and oesophageal SCC in never-smokers) are associations; do not suggest weight protects. MR even found an inverse link for postmenopausal breast cancer, opposite to the observational result
  • High heterogeneity for endometrial, breast and melanoma (I2 >= 90%); regional and sex differences come from tests not corrected for multiple comparisons
The verdict

Higher BMI, higher risk for 19 of 25 cancers.

In short

A new meta-analysis pooled 226 cohort studies covering 1.5 million cancer cases across 25 cancer types. Higher BMI was linked to higher risk of 19 of them: per 5 extra BMI points, 58% higher for womb (endometrial) cancer and 30% higher for kidney cancer, down to 3% for glioma. It was linked to lower risk of 3, including breast cancer before menopause (8% lower). Leukaemia, non-Hodgkin lymphoma, bladder cancer and glioma were new compared with earlier major reviews. These are observational studies: linked, not proven, though genetic studies mostly pointed the same way.

The video
The paper

Watts EL, Gonzalez-Feliciano A, Gunter MJ, Chatterjee N, Moore SC (2026). Adiposity and cancer: systematic review and meta-analysis. Nature Metabolism.

Design: Meta-analysis of cohort studies · systematic review and random-effects meta-analysis of prospective cohort studies (plus a meta-analysis of Mendelian randomization studies); observational (linked, not proven)

DOI: 10.1038/s42255-026-01542-8

Goals:

How we checked

We read the abstract and the full text of this paper and checked every number on this page against it (17 facts, checked on 2026-10-29). The study design is named above. Cohort and other observational studies are described as linked, not proven. Found an error? Email theis@onestudyaday.com.

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