Running sounds hard? Good news!
People say: “You have to run a lot” We read the study.
Meta-analysis of cohort studies. 232,149 people. follow-up 5.5 to 35 years across the included cohorts; 25,951 deaths.
Many studies, added up. People were watched, not told what to do. A clue, not proof.
Who: Adults from 6 prospective cohorts (14 publications) in the USA (Aerobics Center Longitudinal Study; NHANES; 50+ Runners Association vs Stanford controls), Denmark (Copenhagen City Heart Study), UK (Health Survey for England + Scottish Health Survey) and China (Shanghai Men's Health Study, men only); non-clinical populations; runners were ~10% of the pooled sample
Scientists added up studies of 232,149 grown-ups.
Each person said if they ran, and how much.
Years later: who was still alive?
How many died?
Nobody was told to run.
More to know, from our read of the paper:
- Meta-analysis of observational cohorts: association, not causation. Authors: reverse causation 'cannot be ruled out' (sick people are less likely to run); residual confounding possible; only 4 studies met all their adjustment requirements
- Running was self-reported in every included study, with differently worded questions across cohorts
- Few studies per analysis: all-cause pooled from 5 cohorts, cardiovascular from 3 (substantial heterogeneity, I2 63%, CI up to 0.98), cancer from 4, women from only 2; dose-response from only 3 cohorts. Publication bias could not be assessed
- One included study (NHANES) found a non-significant association but could not be pooled, so the pooled HR 'might be somewhat overestimated' (authors)
- In one cohort (Aerobics Center, Lee et al.) the running-mortality link disappeared after adjusting for cardiorespiratory fitness, i.e. fitness may be the pathway
A clue. Not proof.
- Go for one short run this week!
Scientists added up 14 studies of 232,149 grown-ups in the USA, the UK, Denmark and China, who said themselves whether and how much they ran, then checked who died over 5 to 35 years. People who ran at all had about a 27% lower risk of dying than people who never ran, and even once a week or less (under 50 minutes a week) showed up. Running more showed no clear extra benefit (that doesn't mean more is bad). Nobody was told to run, so this is a clue, not proof (a meta-analysis of observational cohort studies): healthier people may simply run more.
Pedisic et al. (2020). Is running associated with a lower risk of all-cause, cardiovascular and cancer mortality, and is the more the better? A systematic review and meta-analysis. British Journal of Sports Medicine.
Design: Meta-analysis of cohort studies · systematic review and meta-analysis of prospective cohort studies (linked, not proven)
DOI: 10.1136/bjsports-2018-100493
Goals:
We read the abstract and the full text of this paper and checked every number on this page against it (19 facts, checked on 2026-10-03). The study design is named above. Cohort and other observational studies are described as linked, not proven. Found an error? Email theis@onestudyaday.com.
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